And so while Biden may dazzle at individual campaign events like this one, he’s not bowling over the masses who may only recognize him, if at all, from the debates. Still, his campaign remains optimistic. Aides note that, after Obama and Hillary Clinton, he leads the field in endorsements among Iowa state legislators--community pillars who can sway uncertain votes on caucus night. One senior Iowa-based aide for a first-tier Democrat concedes there are “pockets” of Iowa where “Joe Biden is incredibly strong.” And in Ankeny, I’m struck by the devotion of the people who turn out to see Biden. These are not window-shoppers. When I ask Urbandale resident Nancy Vetter what she likes about Biden she replies, “Oh, everything.”
As Biden works the crowd after his remarks, Iowa House majority leader Kevin McCarthy, a Biden backer, says “to get a ticket out of Iowa you need to be in the top three. We’re a solid fourth.” But the ABC-Post poll shows Biden in fifth, four points behind Bill Richardson’s eight percent. Biden’s last hope may be for a front-running Democrat to collapse after Iowa. If John Edwards should come in third, for instance, in New Hampshire Biden might scoop up some of Edwards’s populist, union-oriented voters (people who would be partial to Biden’s middle class-focused rhetoric) and find new life.
But that’s a long shot, and he knows it. For a man who has chaired two Senate committees, who has endured horrific personal tragedy, who thwarted Robert Bork’s Supreme Court nomination and has appeared on about 10,000 Sunday talk shows--who has paid his dues--Biden doesn’t seem trapped by the grim specter of his poll standing. He seems to be having ... fun. The kind of face-to-face interaction that the trail offers--a chore for many candidates--is what seems to make him feel alive. (In this sense Biden is much like Bill Clinton, and nothing like Hillary.) After his remarks at the Benchwarmer, he schmoozes every voter as though that person alone will decide the caucus outcome. He spends close to five minutes explaining to one man why he dropped out of the 1988 presidential race, what Bork had to do with it, and how the decision may have saved his life (because Biden later discovered he was suffering from brain aneurysms). By the end the voter looks a little stunned by the verbal geyser that has been unleashed.